Thanks to the 700+ folks who attended my keynote address at last week’s Host Analytics World 2015 conference in San Francisco. We were thrilled with the event and thank everyone — customers, partners, and staff — who made it all possible.
Below is a 76-minute video of the keynote presentation I gave at the event. Enjoy! And please mark your calendars now for next year’s Host Analytics World — May 9 through May 12, 2016 — in San Francisco.
Two weeks ago, Host Analytics launched an amazing new product called Modeling Cloud. Built by an elite team of some our most experienced developers, Modeling Cloud represents a breakthrough in cloud enterprise performance management (EPM).
In this post, I’ll discuss why Modeling Cloud matters to customers, to the market, and to the company.
Why Modeling Cloud Matters for Customers
- Ability to build non-financial models. Planning and budgeting tools are built for planning and budgeting. As such, you want them tied to the general ledger (GL) so, for example, you can easily get actual vs. plan for periodic reporting. But that requires a level of financial intelligence that can become cumbersome; in a typical planning system every line needs to tie to an account in the GL, be a debit/credit account type, be associated with a legal entity, and have an associated currency. That intelligence, which is so wonderful when making budgets, becomes baggage when you just want to build a model — for example, of bookings capacity given productivity and ramping assumptions, or new sales model given advertising spend, conversion, trial, and purchase rates. That’s why most models today are built in Excel and completely disconnected from the financial planning system.
- Ability to integrate non-financial models. The problem with departmental Excel-based modeling is that everything ends up disconnected from the central financial planning. Consulting can tell you what happens to billings if you hire 5 more consultants in the East and sales can tell you what happens to bookings if you hire 6 more salesreps in the East, but you need to start mailing spreadsheets around if you want to see the financial outcomes (e.g., revenue, EPS) of such changes.
- Enterprise-wide scenario analysis. The beauty of connecting departmental modeling to the corporate financial plan is that you can perform enterprise-wide sensitivity analysis. Say we’re thinking of making a big Eastern region push next year. When the models all tie to the financial plan, we can see the financial outcomes for the company associated with such a push, and what it means to setting expectations with board and Wall Street. This captures the real spirit of what is often called driver-based planning.
- The bookings-to-revenue bridge. Models can help the finance team better forecast revenue because sales tends to be bookings-oriented whereas finance is revenue-oriented. Everyone knows that given a pipeline of 100 opportunities there can be scores of combinations where sales hits the bookings target, but each one produces different revenue depending on the composition of the orders. This is also, more subtly, true of sales expense because any given combination will consist of a given set of deals, for a given set of products, by a given set of saleseps, and each product may have different incentives on it, and each salesrep may be in a different stage of acceleration in their compensation plan. By modeling bookings and doing scenario analysis of various combinations of orders, finance can better predict revenue, expense, and ultimately EPS. In a world where a minuscule EPS miss can knock off 20% of a company’s valuation in a heartbeat, this is a critical capability.
Why Modeling Cloud Matters to the Market
- Cloud penetration. EPM is under penetrated by the cloud, with cloud-penetration of less than 5% today. That means that 95% of all EPM systems sold in 2014 (between $3-4B worth) were on-premises. By comparison, sales force automation (SFA) is about 50% cloud-penetrated. While cloud-based planning and budgeting tools have existed for over 5 years, most cloud vendors are still working on completing their suites, with a handful introducing consolidation only in the past one to two years, and just two vendors offering a modeling engine in the cloud. While it’s not the only factor hindering cloud penetration, rounding out cloud EPM suites will definitely help accelerate moving EPM to the cloud.
- Market penetration. Cloud aside, EPM is an under-penetrated market, overall. A recent survey by Grant Thornton, 40% of companies reported that they weren’t using any EPM system, relying only spreadsheets for FP&A work. This implies the $3-4B EPM market could nearly double simply by better penetrating target customers. And the best way to penetrate these companies is not by attacking Excel, but instead to bring an intelligent Excel strategy that makes it easy to import and build both budgets and models that are connected to the financial planning system.
- Customer penetration. EPM is under-penetrated within EPM-consumer companies. Many EPM customers start with a dream of true enterprise-wide planning, but fallback to EPM deployment only within finance and rely on emailed spreadsheets for the “last mile.” That’s too bad because mailing spreadsheets is both insecure and error-prone. This situation develops often in on-premises EPM because the hassle of deploying the software across all potential users is simply too high and because the software itself is built for finance not end users. Cloud EPM — with cloud modeling — will help with improving customer penetration not only because it introduces new reporting and slicer/dicer options, but also because — in the case of our Modeling Cloud product — it introduces the new ability to build and manipulate sub-models which give end users the data they want — and only the data they want — without having to rely on IT for configuration.
Why Modeling Cloud Matters to Host Analytics
- Unique position. With Modeling Cloud in the product line, Host Analytics now has the most comprehensive EPM suite in the cloud. If you look at our primary cloud competitors, one does low-end planning and budgeting, one does visualization and mobile, and the other does cloud modeling but has only both new and functionally thin applications for core finance.
- The finance choice. Host Analytics has always been the finance department’s choice when it comes to core EPM (planning, budgeting, consolidation). That’s because experienced finance people understand the depth and breadth that we bring to the cloud and aren’t interested in buying either unproven solutions or solutions that they will outgrow.
- The operations choice. With Modeling Cloud, Host Analytics is now also the operations choice. Be it sales ops, marketing ops, or services ops, Host Analytics allows ops departments to do the planning and modeling that they require — and to do so in a way that easily integrates with the core financial planning system. This gives them the best of both worlds — the ability to build any model they could build in Excel, using Excel formulas (and even using an Excel front-end if they so desire) and to do so in a way that automatically integrates with the core financial plan.
- The best architecture. Only Host Analytics offers a true multi-dimensional (i.e., OLAP) backend and an architecture built atop cloud-native, dynamic, elastic, NoSQL technology where we deliver phenomenal multi-dimensional analysis and leverage modern/standard components for managing physical storage, sharding, and parallelism. This provides us with a huge advantage going forward both in terms of productivity and scaleability.
It’s been about 2.5 years since I joined Host Analytics and I’m quite proud of the work done by our entire R&D team in industrializing the core products, introducing a new layer of solutions, and now rolling out the industry’s most innovative cloud-based modeling engine.
Every leading industry analyst firm has their own 2×2 matrix — Garter has the magic quadrant, Forrester has the wave, and Ovum has the decision matrix.
The intent of each of these graphical devices is the same: to provide a simple picture that selects the top vendors in a category and positions them by (1) a rating on the quality of their strategy and (2) a rating on the quality of the execution of their strategy.
While the ratings are inherently subjective, each customers has his/her own unique requirements, and “your mileage may vary,” these matrices are useful tools in helping customers make IT supplier decisions.
To start with a brief word from our sponsor, I’m pleased to note that:
- Host Analytics is the best-positioned cloud EPM vendor on Gartner’s magic quadrant for what they call CPM (corporate performance management.)
- Host Analytics is the only cloud vendor in the leaders segment on Forrester’s wave for what they call FPM (financial performance management).
While the temptation is to immediately examine small positioning deltas of the charted vendors (as I just did above), I’d note that one of the best uses of these diagrams is to instead look at who’s not there. For example,
- Anaplan is omitted from Gartner’s MQ, Forrester’s Wave, and Ovum’s DM. I believe this is because they come to market with a value proposition more around platform than app, and that most analysts and customers define EPM as an applications market. In plain English: there is a difference between saying “you can build an X using our stuff” and “we have built an X and can sell you one.”
- Tidemark is present on Forrester’s wave, but omitted from both the Gartner MQ and the Ovum DM. I believe this is because of I what I’d characterize as “strategic schizophrenia” on Tidemark’s part with an initial message (back in the Proferi era) around EPM/GRC convergence, followed by an enterprise analytics message (e.g., infographics, visualization) with a strong dose of SoLoMo, which bowed to Sand Hill Road sexiness if not actual financial customer demand. Lost in the shuffle for many years was EPM (and along with it, much of their Workday partnership).
I’m pleased to announce that Host Analytics has once again received an excellent rating on one of these matrices, the Ovum Decision Matrix for EPM 2014-15.
- The only cloud vendors on the matrix are Host Analytics and Adaptive Insights (fka, Adaptive Planning).
- Host Analytics is shown edging out Adaptive Insights on overall technology assessment.
- Adaptive Insights is shown edging out Host Analytics on execution, which is quite ironic given that Adaptive recently ousted its CEO, something, shall we say, that typically doesn’t happen when execution is going well.
I’m writing to introduce this brand-new, ninety-second Host Analytics overview video, released this week by our marketing team.
- Leadership in cloud-based enterprise performance management (EPM)
- EPM = planning, close, reporting, analytics
- Opportunity cost: finance lost time and money on lower-level tasks impedes business partnership and insight
- Advantages: increased speed, accountability, and insight
- Ability to be managed by finance –> agility to be responsive to be the business (key benefit)
- Deploys at 1/4 the time and cost of traditional on-premises solutions like Hyperion.
Thank you and congratulations to Alex Ortiz who led the project not only to overhaul and simplify our messaging, but also to translate the tip-top of it into this basic introductory video.